Monday, December 16, 2013

Historia interna del Regreso de GM y el ascenso de Mary Ibarra (BusinessWeek)

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Behind this week’s cover
Dan Akerson, the chairman and chief executive officer of General Motors (GM), arrives at the company’s Technical Center on Nov. 13 to address about 1,000 engineers and designers. The sprawling, multibuilding campus in Warren, Mich., is about 15 miles north of downtown Detroit and includes a planetarium-like laboratory for studying secret prototypes under shadowless lighting. The helicopter landing pad used by former Vice Chairman Bob Lutz, the self-appointed king of the “car guys,” is here, too. The Tech Center isn’t GM’s headquarters, though it almost was: In 2009, GM was ready to move to Warren, abandoning downtown Detroit to the hustlers and hockey fans before political considerations scuttled the plan.
 
Yet the Tech Center is the heart of the company, the seat of a $15 billion product-development operation. It’s where GM created the latest Chevy Impala and Silverado, called America’s best sedan and pickup, respectively, by Consumer Reports in 2013, and the Cadillac CTS, which Motor Trend named 2014 Car of the Year. J.D. Power & Associates (MHFI) recently named GM No. 1 in its annual Initial Quality Study—the first time any American automaker has landed the top spot in 27 years. Privately, Akerson basks in these accolades—he’s called the J.D. Power award one of his proudest achievements. At this meeting, however, he’s his usual stern, admonishing self. He warns employees not to lose sight of what still must be done. “I’ll tell you what,” he says, “you’re only as good as your last launch.”
 
Sitting onstage with Akerson, asking him questions in her genial Michigander accent, is Mary Barra, his top product officer and the person to whom most people at the Tech Center report. “I’ll let you shoot, Mary,” says Akerson.
 
“This is a great opportunity because generally he’s asking me questions,” Barra tells the group to laughter.
The two talk about positioning Cadillac against Audi (NSU:GR) and BMW (BMW:GR) to shore up the company, which may not always be able to rely on pickups and SUVs for high-margin sales. “If you don’t attack your own business model, trust me, somebody else will,” says Akerson. They talk a lot about Tesla Motors (TSLA), an automaker Akerson follows closely, openly admiring the electric-car company’s ability to build a Brand.
 
A month later, on Dec. 10, Akerson announced his plan to retire in January to care for his wife of more than 40 years, Karin, who was diagnosed with advanced cancer. With Akerson’s full support, the company named Barra CEO; Tim Solso, the former CEO of engine maker Cummins (CMI), will become chairman of the board.
 
Barra, 51, is the first woman to run GM, and the first woman to run any major automaker. Even more remarkable to employees and close watchers of the company is her pedigree: engineer by trade, GM lifer by birth. She began 33 years ago as an intern, and her first job out of school was as a plant engineer at the assembly factory in Pontiac, Mich.; her father spent 39 years at the same division making dies. She’s an affirmation of everything GM has done right, but also a company woman from the troubled years.
 
 
As Barra takes charge, GM is looking stronger than it has in decades. It’s in its third straight profitable year and feasting on the fruits of bankruptcy, which in its case include lower labor costs, less debt, and the elimination of weak brands and redundant dealers. Brian Johnson, an analyst with Barclays (BCS), expects it to earn about $6 billion in 2013. As the automaker sees the benefits of all the products it’s launching and additional cost reductions, its profit could reach $10 billion in 2017, according to Johnson. In 2010, GM had the second-biggest initial public offering in U.S. history; shares are trading at a high; the company returned to the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index; and it won back an investment-grade credit rating for the first time in eight years from Moody’s (MCO).

Warren Buffett has been buying the stock. China, where Buick is a status symbol—it was the ride of China’s last emperor—is now the company’s biggest market.
 
And GM is no longer “Government Motors.” On Dec. 9, the day before Akerson announced his retirement, the Department of the Treasury, which had been selling about 1 million GM shares a day as the year was ending, declared it had sold the last. The federal government will recoup about $39 billion of its $50 billion investment. Supporters of the Obama administration’s decision to take over GM, who now include Akerson, contend that the jobs saved at both the company and its huge network of suppliers more than repaid U.S. taxpayers. According to the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Mich., the takeover preserved 2.6 million jobs in 2009 at automakers and companies that depend on the industry. The center calculates that a collapse would have eliminated $284 billion in personal income in 2009 and 2010 and cost the federal government $105 billion in unemployment benefits and reduced Social Security contributions. GM says it has invested $8.8 billion in U.S. facilities since 2009 and created 25,500 jobs for new and existing workers.
 

Friday, December 13, 2013

Healthcare.gov Makes Mobile Phones Seem Like a Free-Market Paradise... (BusinessWeek)

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ValuePenguin has built a data visualization that explores where uninsured Americans are concentrated and what their options look like in the exchanges. In 463 counties that together are home to 2.9 million uninsured people, there’s only a single company selling coverage through the insurance exchanges.
 
Those counties are concentrated in the South, including in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, and Texas. All of New Hampshire and much of rural Nevada are also one-carrier markets, as are parts of Indiana, Tennessee, and Wisconsin.
 
How much does competition matter? After all, many insurance markets were highly concentrated before Obamacare’s reforms. In 2011 there were 29 states (and the District of Columbia) where a single insurer had at least half the market for individual health plans, according to data from the Kaiser Family Foundation. Research on employer health insurance has found that carriers have greater pricing power in less competitive markets.
 
And there’s evidence that competition on healthcare.gov actually succeeds at holding down premiums. In markets with 10 insurers competing for business, average premiums are as much as one-third lower than those markets with only a single carrier, according to an October analysis by Bloomberg Government’s Peter Gosselin. That’s bad news for the people of Eden, among many other places.
 
John_tozzi  Tozzi is a reporter for Bloomberg Businessweek in New York.

Thursday, December 12, 2013

El secereto de Costco's: La membresía paga aunque no compre

Retail

The Secret of Costco's Bad Quarter: Members Pay Even If They Don't Shop

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Customers shop at a Costco in Hackensack, New Jersey
 
Popularity wasn’t Costco’s (COST) problem in the recent quarter, in which revenue from membership fees surged 7.4 percent from a year ago, but getting those people to spend remained a challenge, and the discounter missed Wall Street expectations for the second-consecutive quarter.
Trouble from lack of spending is a refrain heard from retailers time and again in recent months. Costco sales increased a disappointing 5.5 percent, to $25 billion, and the company’s already thin margins were squeezed further as profit ticked up only 2.2 percent, to $425 million.
 
The numbers illustrate a bit of a strategy shift at Costco. The retail giant is lowering prices at its almost 650 warehouse stores in a bid to lock more shoppers into annual memberships. So it’s playing the long game even more than it usually does.
 
 
Wall Street probably won’t be happy with today’s numbers, but the gambit makes some sense. If Costco had realized last year’s higher profit margins in the recent quarter (assuming static sales), it would have pocketed an extra $7 million in income. But it managed to book an additional $38 million in membership fees, in part, by holding down its margins to make membership attractive. Costco doesn’t really mind if people aren’t buying two-pound tins of hot cocoa ($25.99), 10-pound sacks of peanut-butter dog treats ($36.99) or a 16-bottle wine refrigerator ($139.99)—just as long as they are buying annual membership cards ($55).
Kyle-stock-190 Stock is an associate editor for Businessweek.com. Twitter: @kylestock

Qué acaba de pasar en GM? (BusinessWeek)

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Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Markets & Finance: La década perdida de GE (BusinessWeek)

Jeffrey Immelt in Tokyo on Oct. 22

Jeffrey Immelt in Tokyo on Oct. 22

Jeffrey Immelt won one of corporate America’s top prizes 12 years ago when he was chosen to succeed industry legend Jack Welch as chief executive officer of General Electric (GE). The glow didn’t last: He assumed his post just four days before Sept. 11. In 2008 the economic crisis sent the stock plunging, as investors worried that financing unit GE Capital would bring down the entire company. Five years later the economy is recovering, and the market is regularly setting new records. While GE shares have quadrupled since their low, they are still 33 percent below their price when Immelt took over. Including dividends, investors have a total return of zero under Immelt’s reign. The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index has returned 110 percent in that time.
 

Immelt’s stated strategy is to reduce the size of GE Capital—in November, GE said it would spin off the division’s North American consumer-finance unit—and focus on industrial lines of business including oil and gas equipment, power generation, and aviation. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) analysts Stephen Tusa and Drew Pierson recently expressed doubt that the shift would be enough to revive the stock. “We continue to see more attractive stories in the sector,” they wrote in a note to clients. Shares of GE rivals such as Danaher (DHR), Honeywell (HON), and United Technologies (UTX) are at or near all-time highs.

Ivan Feinseth, chief investment officer of Tigress Financial Partners, faults Immelt for agreeing to sell NBCUniversal “at the bottom”—in 2009, when media stocks were out of favor. After getting regulatory approval, Comcast (CMCSA) bought 51 percent of the broadcaster in 2011 and the rest earlier this year. Feinseth notes that Comcast and Walt Disney (DIS), the parent of ABC, are setting fresh highs now that media stocks have recovered. Brian Langenberg, director of research at Langenberg & Co., says Immelt’s strategy is defensive, not a path to faster growth. “GE isn’t reducing finance because it has a new religious attachment to industrial,” he says. “This is about reducing the potential for future pain.”
 
 
Despite such criticism, it’s hard to find anyone on Wall Street calling for Immelt to step down, and no activist investors have targeted the company. Nor are shareholders showing displeasure. In April they rejected a proposal from the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees’ pension plan to split the roles of chairman and chief executive, titles currently held by Immelt. The company’s slate of 17 directors, including Mary Shapiro, former head of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, were all re-elected. GE’s three biggest shareholders are money managers that specialize in index funds and ETFs: BlackRock (BLK), Vanguard, and State Street (STT). Those companies control a total of about 15 percent of the stock.
 
While size might once have been a deterrent—GE had a market value of almost $280 billion on Dec. 2—activists have taken shots at both Microsoft (MSFT) ($320 billion) and Apple (AAPL) ($510 billion). Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer announced his retirement four months after Jeffery Ubben of ValueAct Capital Partners disclosed a stake of less than 1 percent in the company. In September, ValueAct President G. Mason Morfit was given a seat on the Microsoft board. Carl Icahn has invested about $1 billion in Apple and said in August he wants the company to increase its buyback program to boost the share price.
 
One obstacle to outside agitators, says Feinseth, is GE’s complexity—300,000 workers spread across eight divisions in 160 countries. “If you have five activists going after GE and put them in the same room,” he says, “I’m sure you’d have at least 20 different recommendations. There are so many moving parts. Which division would you tackle first?” Also, says Feinseth, GE “is not a natural activist situation where you have so much obvious excess cash to chase like at Apple or Microsoft.” Instead of hoarding cash, GE has paid out $100 billion in dividends under Immelt and spent $50 billion to buy back its own shares. Still, investors are not excited: The stock trades at 15 times expected 2014 earnings, while Danaher has a price-earnings ratio of 20 and 3M (MMM) trades at 18.
 
Seth Martin, a company spokesman, defends Immelt, citing his early decision to expand the aviation business. GE recently announced $40 billion of orders and commitments for aviation gear at the Dubai Airshow. “GE has an investor-friendly strategy to reduce the size of GE Capital and invest in our core industrial business,” says Martin. “Over the last 12 years, GE has transformed into the largest and most profitable infrastructure company in the world.” Martin points to a recent Deutsche Bank (DB) report that said the stock could jump 20 percent in a year. Immelt declined to comment.
 
William Smith, president of New York’s SAM Advisors, has given up on GE. The money manager, who agitated unsuccessfully for a breakup of Citigroup (C) in 2006 and 2007, accumulated shares of GE over the past few years, hoping management would move aggressively to boost the stock. Smith says he has no appetite for a shareholder battle. Instead, he recently voted with his feet, selling his entire position. “I just threw up my arms and said ‘screw it,’ ” he says. “GE has not been well managed at all.”
 
The bottom line: GE stock has lost 33 percent during Immelt’s tenure. Counting dividends, investors have broken even over that time.
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Farzad is a Bloomberg Businessweek contributor. Follow him on Twitter @robenfarzad

El alquiler es muy alto...o la gente gana muy poco? (BusinessWeek)

Housing

Harvard Study Finds: The Rent Is Way Too High

 
 
 
 
 

Thursday, December 5, 2013

Polonia:una locomotora europea

Features

How Poland Became Europe's Most Dynamic Economy

 
 
 
 Para conti uar leyendo sobre Polonia en este artículo de Bloomberg BusinessWeek, visite a: http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-11-27/how-poland-became-europes-most-dynamic-economy?campaign_id=DN120413